UPDATED: November 16, 2006 The Political Junkies.net

Column No. 129, Steven Jonas, MD, MPH

What’s Happening on Iraq?

As I said in an article on Iraq published on BuzzFlash last month (“So Whassup on Iraq, Jim?” 10/24/06): “the Georgite Iraq policy is in a spin and the Georgites are spinning it as fast as their spinning wheels can carry them.” Before the election, first there was Repub. Sen. John Warner’s warning that “things weren’t going so well.” Then there was the National Intelligence Estimate from Bush’s own intelligence agencies that, among other things, the US occupation was creating more terrorists than it was killing (which report the totally isolated Bush treated as if it came from another planet). Then negative stuff “leaked” from certain US generals on the ground. Then there were the “leaks” from the Baker Commission. These straws in the wind all indicated that a major overhaul of Administration policy on Iraq was underway, no matter what the figurehead President said during the election campaign. Then after telling the world on the Sunday before the election that Rumsfeld would be in the job until Jan. 20, 2009, on the Wednesday after it Rumsfeld goes and is replaced by Robert Gates, who just happens to be a member of the Baker Commission. (He’s got some bad Reagan/Bush I Iran hostages and Iran-Contra stuff in his baggage, but that is not why he was picked for this job.) Whether Bush himself was fully aware of it or not (and he likely did find out for sure on Nov. 13, when the Baker group met with him), the planning to get US forces out of Iraq has been well underway for some time. But why, and why now? First and foremost it is because the principal original goals of the invasion, postulated by some, some time ago, have been achieved. Those goals were postulated, for example, by an anonymous friend of mine just after the Iraq invasion in the spring of 2003. I retailed them in a column of mine posted on The Political Junkies.net in the spring of 2004, “You Know Me Al: The Iraq War — So What was it About, Anyway?” Those goals are the securing of full, independent access to the enormous oil reserves that are thought to lie under Iraqi Kurdistan (yes, the trifurcation of the country will take place, either overtly or covertly), and the completion of a string of permanent US military bases in the Western Iraqi desert. Second, given what the Dems did with the war issue this time around, there are the political considerations for the Republicans going into the 2008 election. They would like very much to have this political albatross off their collective necks by then. Do you think that Jim Baker is talking the path he is taking because he is a nice guy, or a man of principle, or a recent convert to positive internationalism? Why no. Jim Baker is a major power broker and the public face of the sector of the US power elite that put George W. Bush in power in the first place — the extractive and military/aerospace industries and their allies. He was the front man for the Bush Theft in Florida in 2000. These folks called the shots then and they are calling the shots now. Because their principal goals have been achieved, they are going to figure out a way to get the U.S. out of Iraq as neatly, and as quickly, as possible, with the least possible damage, not to the Iraqis, but to the Republican Party.

They will try to blame the “loss” (when it is really a win for them) on the “stabbed-us-in-the-back” Democrats. But they have got their oil and they have got their bases and they want to try to get the issue off the main page for the 2008 election. And they coincidentally have a Democratic Congress (or at least a Democratic House depending upon what Lieberman does when push comes to shove around organizing the Senate) which will make it easier for them to achieve that end on the ground, at the same time their front men in the Privatized Ministry of Propaganda will be blaming the Democratic “cowards” and Republican “turn-coats.” Gates is hand-picked by Baker to manage the job. And if Cheney doesn’t get out of the way, he will be gotten out of the way, as I first noted in that BuzzFlash column of Oct. 24, 2006. Maybe even Bush too, if he doesn’t. Want a really far-out scenario, as I postulated back then? Bush goes into a sanitarium for undisclosed “problems,” and does not re-emerge until he is safely ensconced on his new ranch in Paraguay. Cheney succeeds to the Presidency long enough to appoint Baker to the Vice-Presidency, then resigns for “reasons of health.” Baker succeeds to the Presidency and appoints Colin Powell as Vice-President. Both pledge unconditionally to seek no Republican nomination for national office in 2008. A true Center-Right government is established with the center-Right Democrats of Emanuel-Schumer-Clinton in control of Congress. A center-right government is then elected in 2008, with either McCain, Clinton, or Obama as president. And the country goes back to providing a very good living for the power elite, without the trouble of engaging in endless and very expensive foreign wars. They may even kiss off Big Pharma and the “health” insurance industry and enact some kind of fairly retrograde national health insurance plan because so many other powers in the economy desperately need it done for cost-containment. Stay tuned.

Why No Grand Theft Election

I and many others, like Greg Palast and Mike Whitney, firmly predicted that that Rovian Grand Theft Election would be operating at full throttle this time around, and they would do it again, just as they did in 2000 and 2004. There were indeed scattered instances of voter suppression, both before and during the election, as well as scattered instances (in Florida in particular) of computer tampering. However, it is quite clear that the computer-tampering operation was shut down nationally. I think that that decision was taken at the highest level. That it could be shows just how sophisticated the Rovian Grand Theft Election Machine is. They were able to turn off the switch or switches on very short notice. And who did that? Rove, Bush, Cheney? None of the above, in my view. The decision was made by the current most powerful single person in America: once again, Jim Baker, representing that powerful element of the power elite he does indeed represent. And once again, why did they do this? As noted above, their Iraq goals have been achieved and it is time to get out. Moderate centrism worked electorally for the Democrats. Despite opposition from the center-right of the Democratic Party represented by Rahm Emanuel, Howard Dean’s “50 State Solution” is well on its way to becoming a reality. With its 6-year electoral dependence on the Christian Right which, if it doesn’t get its way completely picks up its balls (if it has any) and goes home, fizzling out at the polls. All of a sudden the Republican Party that seemed to be on its way to becoming a permanent majority may well be on its way to becoming a permanent minority, and a regional (Southern) one at that. Instead of Rove’s “Republican Permanent Majority” forever, it may well have lasted only these six years (not even as long as the 12 that their role-model Hitler’s “1000-year Reich” lasted). Next, in a country with even the only the moderately free press ours has, the blogging nation, lots of lawyers, and a highly decentralized voting system, a massive nation-wide cheat machine can last only just so long before it is exposed. Finally, Constitutional democracy works very well for the well-to-do in this country, thank you very much. While some of them obviously like the idea, many, at this time at least, don’t want it replaced by fascism. It’s not needed now and it wouldn’t be good for the economy among other things. They have gotten a close look at just how much the Christian Right would be interfering with our personal lives, using the force of the criminal law to do so, were it really to be in control through fascism, and they don’t like that at all. That is not to say that the threat is not still there and that liberals and progressives do not have to work very hard to put the fascist beast back into its cage. But for now at least, a major portion of the power elite has decided to give American democracy as we have known it some breathing room.

Steven Jonas, MD, MPH is a TPJ contributing author. He is a Professor of Preventive Medicine at Stony Brook University (NY) and author/co-author of over twenty-five books. Dr. Jonas has his own website for short pieces entitled “Dr. J.’s Short Shots” (http://shortshot.wordpress.com/). Dr. Jonas is also a Contributing Editor for the Moving Planet Blog (http://www.planetarymovement.org/) produced by The Planetary Movement Ltd. UK (http://www.planetarymovement.org/the-planetary-movement/) TPJ’s own Michael Carmichael, President and Chief Executive Officer, a Contributing Columnist for the Project for the Old American Century, POAC (http://www.oldamericancentury.org/), on which his TPJ columns appear regularly, and a Columnist for the webmagazine BuzzFlash (http://www.buzzflash.com/) which publishes an original column by Dr. Jonas every other week or so. Also, most of his “Short Shots” appear first on BF before being put up on his own website. By invitation, Dr. J’s TPJ columns are also posted periodically on the weblogs Thomas Paine’s Corner (http://civillibertarian.blogspot.com/) and Bush Watch (http://www.bushwatch.com/).In his book The New Americanism, Dr. Jonas presents his proposal for that “new vision and mission” for the Democratic Party that so many, for so many years, have been urging it to find. A new vision and mission are obviously needed with increasing urgency as with increasing speed and determination the Georgites drive our nation towards frank theocratic fascism. Dr. Jonas finds the needed vision and mission in the Declaration of Independence and the Constitution. The New Americanism: How the Democratic Party Can Win the Presidency is available from Amazon.com (go to “Books;” enter the full title) and BarnesandNoble.com (same). He is also the author of The 15% Solution: A Political History of American Fascism, 2001-2022. Under the pseudonym “Jonathan Westminster” this book was originally published in 1996. It was republished with a New Introduction in 2004. Under Georgite rule, the “fictional non-fiction” scenario of this work of “future history” is, most unfortunately, becoming all too real, now almost day-by-day. Both versions are available at www.amazon.com and www.barnesandnoble.com (go to “Books;” enter the title). The 2004 edition is also available at www.xlibris.com (click on “Bookstore,” then “Search” with the title). 2006
Nov 12, 2006 “Democratic Ideas: Post-Election 2006”
Nov 2, 2006
“The US Enabling Act, 2006, Part II: Why Bush Wanted It”Oct 26, 2006 “The US Enabling Act, 2006, Part I: What It Is And Some Comparative History”
Oct 12,2006 Democratic Ideas, XIV: Attack On Defense Revisited”
Oct 5, 2006 “Iran Nukes, Revisited” (Expanded Edition)
Sept 28, 2006 “Democratic Ideas, XIII: Controlling The Agenda”
Sept 21, 2006 Reran article dated October 14, 2004
Sept 14, 2006
“Democratic Ideas, XII: Focusing On The Constitution”
Sept 7, 2006 “Let’s Hear It For Strict Constructionism,” V. 3, Part 3”
Aug 16, 2006 “Let’s Hear It For Strict Constructionism, V. 3, Part 2”
Aug 10, 2006 The Dick Durbin Disaster – reran
Aug 3, 2006 Democratic Ideas, IX:, “Let’s Hear It For Strict Construction (V. 3), Part 1”
Jul 27, 2006 “What’s It All About, Alfie?”
Jul 19, 2006 “Democratic Ideas, VIII: Let’s Play Capture The Flag”
Jul 13, 2006 “Ann Coulter: The New Face Of The Republican Party”
Jul 6,2006 “Ideas For Democrats, VII: Bipartisanship On Iraq”
Jun 29, 2006 “Ideas For Democrats, VI: Attack On Defense, II”
Jun 22, 2006 “Ideas For Democrats, V: Attack On Defense”
Jun 15, 2006 “Ideas For Democrats, IV: The Ten Commitments, Re-visited”
Jun 8, 2006 “Ideas For Democrats, III: Dealing The DLC”
Jun 1, 2006 “Ideas For Democrats, II: Why Don’t The Democrats?”
May 25, 2006 “Ideas For Democrats, I: The Vision”
May 18, 2006 “On Conspiracy Theories”
May 11, 2006 “The Significance Of The Tony Snow Job”*
May 3, 2006 “Bush Is Not Hitler, II”
April 25, 2005 “Bush Is Not Hitler, I”
April 20, 2006
Some Thoughts On The ‘Immigration Problem'”
April 13, 2006
“The Georgite State Of The Union Address Revited”
April 6, 2006 “A Firebell In The Night: The So-Called ‘Gay Marriage’ Amendment, II”
April 2, 2006
“A Fireball In The Night:
The So-Called ‘Gay Marriage’ Amendment, I

Feb 22, 2006 “The German Reichstag Fire of 1933 and 9/11: Some Comparisons. A Revisit,
Part II”

Feb 16, 2006 “The German Reichstag Fire Of 1933 And 9/11: Some
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Feb 9, 2006
A Comment On The Democratic Alchemy,’
Appearing In The American Prospect”

Feb 2, 2006
Vengeance Is Mine, Saith The LORDJan 26, 2006 “George Bush And The Doctrine Of Original Intent”
Jan 19, 2006
“Let’s Hear It For Original Intent (Version 2)”
Jan 12, 2006
“A Quick Visit To Mexico”
Jan 5, 2006
“Why The Patriot Act, Redux: Fascism In The Here And Now, Cont.”
Dec 22, 2005 “Why The Patriot Act, Redux: Fascism In The Here And Now”
Dec 15, 2005 “An Iraq Exit Proposal”
Dec 10, 2005 “Exiting Iraq, The Georgite Way”
Dec 1, 2005 The Future Of The Democratic Party, VIII:
A Politically Viable Progressive Position On The War”
Nov 25, 2005 “The Future Of The Democratic Party, VII: ‘The Ten Commitments’”
Nov 17, 2005
The Future Of The Democratic Party, VI: An Organizing Proposal For Progressives”
Nov 10, 2005
“The Future Of The Democratic Party, V:
There Is No Middle Ground”

Nov 3, 2005
“On The (Possible) Indictments.”Oct 27, 2005 “The Future of the Democratic Party, IV:
Bush, Bennett, Miers, and the DLC.”

Oct 20, 2005 “The Future Of The Democratic Party, III:
First Thoughts On Dealing With The DLC.”

Oct 13, 2005
“The Future Of The Democratic Party, II: On The Republicans”
Oct 6, 2005
“The Future Of The Democratic Party, I”Sept 29, 2005 “The Bush Flood, And The Georgites: New Orleans, III”
Sept 22, 2005
“On The Great New Orleans Flood Of 2005, II”
Sept 15, 2005 “On The Great New Orleans Bush Flood Of 2005, I”
Sept 8, 2005
“Let’s Hear It For Original Intent”
Sept 1, 2005 “An Iraq Solution”
Aug 25,2005 “Some Thoughts On The Atomic Bombing Of Japan”
Aug 18, 2005 “Why God Sent Us George W. Bush”

Aug 12, 2005 “John Bolton And The Nuclear Option II”
Aug 5, 2005 “The Significance Of The Karl Rove Speech”
July 28, 2005 “Iran Nukes, Revisited”
(Expanded Edition)

July 21, 2005 “Iran Nukes, Revisited”
July 14, 2005 “The Dick Durbin Disaster” A Follow Up
July 7, 2005
The Dick Durban Disaster”June 23, 2005 Why All Of This Repression Abroad?”
June 16, 2005
Not Very Intelligent Design”
June 8,2005
“Pat Buchanan’s “What If, “III?”
June 2, 2005
Pat Buchanan’s ‘What If,’ II?”May 26, 2005 “Pat Buchanan’s ‘What If?'”
May 18, 2005 The Schiavo Case, V: The Attack On Science”
May 12, 2005 “Possible Explanations For Bush-Behavior On And Around 9/11″
May 5, 2005 “Bill Frist’s Declaration Of War”
April 28, 2005 “The Schiavo Case, IV: The Definitions Of Life And Death”
April 24, 2005
“The Schiavo Case, III: Further Legal Considerations And Their Political Implications”
April 14, 2005 “The Schiavo Case, II: William Bennett And The Beginning Of The End Of The Separation Of Powers”
April 7, 2005 “The Schiavo Case And The Locus Of The ‘Police Power'”
March 31, 2005 “John Bolton And The Nuclear Option”
March 22, 2005 Of “Moolahs,” Putin and Bush
March 17, 2005
Georgite “Freedom And Democracy”
March 10, 2005 “We Won’t Have To Worry Any More”
March 3, 2005 “Iranian Nukes”
February 24, 2005 “Going Nuclear In Iran”
February 16, 2005 “The Georgite Social Security Scam: Bases For Suspicion”
February 10, 2005 “The Georgite Version of ‘Freedom and Democracy’ ”

“The Coming 2nd Civil War (Unless),” No. 6

Feb 3, 2005 “WMD Discovered — In Washington” Jan 27, 2005 “Comparing George W. Bush And Adolf Hitler”
Jan 18, 2005 “The Bush Second Inaugural: A Preview” “The Coming 2nd Civil War
(Unless),” No. 5

Jan 13, 2005 “The Georgite Concept of Constitutionalism and the Rule of Law”
Jan 6, 2005 “The ‘Unless’ Of The ‘Coming Second Civil War’ Series; Part II”
Dec 30, 2004 “The ‘Unless’ of the ‘Coming Second Civil War’ Series, Part I”
Dec 23, 2004 “The Real Meaning Of The ‘Faith-Based Presidency;’ Part II”
Dec 15, 2004 “The Coming Second Civil War (Unless)”
Dec 9, 2004 “The Real Meaning Of The ‘Faith-Based Presidency’ ”
Oct 28, 2004 Why The Patriot Act?”
Oct. 21, 2004 “The Cheneys’ Daughter Flap”
Oct 14, 2004 “George Bush’s America”
Oct 7, 2004 “The Debate”
Sept 30, 2004 “Four 800 Lb. Gorillas In The Campaign Room”
Sept 23, 2004 “Fixing The Kerry Campaign, 9/15/2004”
Sept 16, 2004 “Lessons From Japan. Part II: Successful Occupations”
Sept 9, 2004 Thoughts On the Third Anniversary of the Tragedy of 9/11/2001″
Sept 2, 2004 “Lessons From Japan, Part 1”
August 26,2004 “Dealing with the Republican National Convention and Related

August 18, 2004 “The Best Of Dr. Jonas”
August 12, 2004 “Some Thoughts For and About The Kerry Campaign, VI”
August 5,2004 “Some Thoughts For and About The Kerry Campaign, V”July 29, 2004 “Some Thoughts For and About The Kerry Campaign, IV”
July 22, 2004 “Some Thoughts For and About The Kerry Campaign III”
July 15, 2004 “Some Thoughts For And About The Kerry Campaign II”
July 7, 2004 “Some Thoughts For And About The Kerry Campaign,I”
July 1, 2004 “Counsel To The President”
June 24, 2004 “ ’You Know me Al:’ On the German Reichstag Fire of Feb. 27, 1933
and the 9/11/01 Bombing of the World Trade Center, Part II”

June 17, 2004 “ ‘The Ralph Nader Problem’ — A Re-run plus”
June 10, 2004 “Ronald Reagan’s Legacy”
June 3, 2004 “’You Know Me Al:’ On The Reichstag Fire Of Feb. 27, 1933 And The
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May 27, 2004 “On Fascism — And The Georgites”
May 20, 2004 “On John Ashcroft — And Jefferson Davis”
May 13, 2004 “Karl Rove’s Personal Political Notebook”
May 6, 2004 “Possible Explanations For Bush Behavior And 9/11”
April 29, 2004 “On George Bush and Religion, Part 2
April 22, 2004 “What Condi Rice Might Have Said”
April 8, 2004 “On George Bush And Religion”
April 1, 2004 “Some Political Thoughts For Senator Kerry”
March 25, 2004 “Brief Essays”
March 16, 2004 “You Know Me Al: The Iraq War — So What Was It About, Anyway?
March 11, 2004 “A Word (Or Two) On Ralph Nader”
March 4, 2004 “A Firebell In The Night”
February 27, 2004 “On Doctor Dean”

Published in: on 12/12/2006 at 1:21 pm  Leave a Comment  

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